Futures Rebound As Op-Ex Gamma Trapdoor Looms

US equity futures rebounded from yesterday’s slide and losses of as much as -0.3% overnight on dismal volumes, as 10Y yields rose up to 1.335% and the dollar pushed higher. At 7:15 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 51 points, or 0.14%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 7.75 points, or 0.17%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 34 points, or 0.23%.

Volatility shrank, but with today’s op-ex seeing a third of SPX gamma expiring, there is a chance volatility may spike, and with the vol trigger level just below spot, there may be some market turbulence today.

Investors piled on economically sensitive energy, banks and travel stocks ahead of key retail sales data that will likely miss expectations of a marginal -0.3% decline based on the latest BofA debit and credit card spending data.


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